Sunday, February 24, 2008

Why Intelligent Design Is Not Science And Cannot Be Taught As Such


I know that I have not really commented before on this blog about the evolution vs. ID debate, but I have in other places and I thought I should really establish why, as far as I am concerned, Intelligent Design is not scientific and does not belong in the science classroom.

First of all, I'd like to draw your attention to Science magazine's article about paleontologist Stephen Godfrey (http://www.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/full/319/5866/1034) who had been a creationist until the evidence in the ground, logic and intellectual honesty led him reconsider his beliefs and conclude with evolution.

I went through a somewhat similar change very many years ago. You may be surprised to know that Darwin believed in something very much like Intelligent Design before his travels changed him.

So here's a little hurrah for courage and intellectual honesty!

Now... to address Intelligent Design's place vis-a-vis science. It is established that ID is not science because:

1- It is not falsifiable (since ID refuses to qualify the creator or his methods or motives)

2- ID relies on supernatural causation

3- There is no direct or positive evidence for it. Most evidence "for" ID consists of:

a) finding gaps in evolution or the fossil record
b) trying to falsify evolution.

Gaps in a theory are not falsification. Gaps exist in physics too. It would be nonsensical to say that physics is false because of the gaps that exist so far in it.

Another issue is that according to the scientific method, falsification of evolution does not lead automatically to ID. It may lead to an alternate theory of evolution (such as Lamarkian or some other mechanism) or other different things. There is no strict duality between the current theory of evolution and ID.

Hence falsification of evolution is not evidence for ID. It should be noted though that most creationist attempts at falsifying evolution have been very well answered by the scientific community. This Nova documantary will give you a small idea of the debate: http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/nova/id/

Many of you may have looked at the debate from the lense of creationist or ID polemicists, so be honest and take a peek at the position of science in its own words.

But let me get to the point (finally!).

Science is NOT about getting to the absolute truth no matter where it leads you. There are rules. These include:

1- Falsifiability
2- Natural causation
3- There must exist positive evidence FOR the theory
4- All science is tentative and may be revised or elaborated in the light of new evidence

So, what would science look like if ID was correct and evolution was wrong? Well, basically evolutuon would get discredited and we would NOT HAVE a scientific theory of speciation.
But ID would still not be science. It would belong in philosophy class and church. ID can never be science even if it is correct.

Even if all variants of evolution were falsified and we had no alternative, at best, a science text could say something like: "We do not have an explanation for speciation but religions posit a creator. Now on to fungi..."

That said, in reality evolution is a very strong and robust theory and is considered by the vast majority of biologists and paleontologists to be a very good explanation of speciation.

Finally, science does NOT say there cannot be a God. Evolution does not require atheism, so before getting emotional, consider that.

Ofcourse, there are those that will object and say that evolution is merely speculation that fits tghe evidence, and that ID or some flavour of creationism fits the evidence equally well.

But I think if you calmly look at the logic and explanations of both sides and read the scientific explanations and answers to creationist criticisms from their sources. If you read the actual scientific material, and not through the lense of ID-ists presenting it to you, I think you will clearly see that Evolution is the correct interpretation of the data.

That's why Darwin, the head of the Human Genome Project (who is devoutly religious), Godfrey and many many others all came to the same conclusion even though all of these people had good emotional and religious reasons to WANT creationism to be true.

That's why the vast majority of scientists, including religious ones, favour evolution. The evidence is vast. Read science directly, not through creationist polemicists.

Tuesday, February 19, 2008

On the Recent Elections in Pakistan

The Seeds We Sow

Well...except for karachi (which is owned by MQM gangsters, they were gonna rig that regardless of anything) it seems that the election has been fair.The results bear that out. (and Stratfor has confirmed it)

Mushy may be gone in 6 months. The MQM will be the ally of WHOEVER is in power; no one can get rid of them, and they have already said they are willing to enter a coalition with PML-N and PPP. And...well...it's back to the 90s. Time for Mr. 10% Zardari or Mr. Mongoloid Sharif to rule. But this is rule of law. This is democracy (of the illiterate, and the feudally cooerced serfs)!

One thing will NOT change, inspite of the opposition's promises to the contrary; Pakistan will remain in the war on terror on America's side. People will begin to realize that was inevitable... Mushy or no Mushy.

Time for the corrupt crazy politicians to come back and show us what we've been missing! Time for rowdy student wings of parties and long-marches ad-nauseam and zero economic management.

Time for macroeconomic collapse!

Ofcourse, those who were making grandiose speeches and making snarky rhetorical comments about "independence", those who disliked the only disciplined instituition in the nation, those who were in favour of a third rate corrupt nepotistic CJ, those who wanted to release high ranking terrorists in the middle of a war on the basis of "rule of law", which is a lesser priority than national survival may I add, will now see that the war on terror will continue, but with shitty people like Zardari and Nawaz on top.

By the way... anyone knows that Pakistan is and always was independent. That's why we don't allow American troops on our soil. It was Zardari who wanted the UN to run an internal investigation like we were Somalia or something, not Musharraf. But those who want illiterate and feudally distorted "democracy" can now have it.

Enjoy the fruits of the seeds you sow...enjoy, my countrymen. Especially those speechifying in America while I sit here reaping the consequences of your pretensions. But at least some good things are happening in the world:

Happy birthday my brothers in Kosovo!

Crystal Ball, Crystal Ball...

Well, now that the new (old) Pakistan is forming, here are my prognostications. You will find that I will be vindicated quite completely in time, within one year, unless mentioned otherwise. If Musharraf is removed prematurely and the Army is weakened the following will happen:

- Laws banning corrupt or uneducated candidates will be repealed as being the result of dictatorship. As a result Zardari and Sharif brothers will enter NA via by-elections.

- The war on terror continues, people who wanted negotiations with Al qaeda and Taliban will realize the terror continues and truces are temporary, and that there was never a choice, and get skull-fucked.

- Local government system will be abruptly or gradually eroded and re-centralized to provincial level. If it happens gradually, this process will take up to 2 years.

- PML-N will continue its dysfinctional relationships with smaller provinces when it is in power, dismissing provincial govs when it wants, when/if it is in power, leading to provincial disharmony.

- No one will admit that Brig. Cheema was right about Benazir's wounds, even though he has been vindicated by scotland yard. Read the report, it's on the net. Some people have voted against musharraf because of belief in the conspiracy theory that Musharraf or the security establishment had BB killed. These people will remain in lala land and not dare to blame the cancers within the Muslims, Al Qaeda and Taliban.

- Musharraf will not leave pakistan, even if he faces retribution.

- If a Democrat comes to power in the US, aid will be greatly reduced and eventually sanctions will return. When this happens good macro-economic management will become critical, but Zardari and Mongoloid Sharif cannot deliver this and the economy will deteriorate back to 90s level within the next 5 years. If there are no sanctions then the economy will merely coast, with inflation cycling according to conditions. They will then realize no one has a magic bullet for inflation. Idiots.

- Suicide bombings by AQ and the Talibs will continue.

- The people that treated Mongo(Nawaz) and the CJ as heroes will hate those very people as corrupt in a few years. But they won't realize the irony.

- Programs for renewing Balushistan will fall by the way-side and sepratism will rise again.

- Dysfunctional, chaotic, confrontational politics will continue with your heroic democratic politicians.

- The poor illiterate serfs, who are mostly told who to vote for and are the majority in your "democracy", will stay that way.

- Whoever is in power will also ally himself with MQM as necessary, and all the racist fuck-wits who accused musharraf of being an MQM stooge will not realize the irony of it.

- The same people will also forget who initially freed the electronic media.Crackdowns and disgreements now and then with the electronic media will continue, with some channels getting shut-down temporarily for crossing who-ever is in power.

- The electronic media will continue to be sensationalistic and bias/agenda driven.

- The dolts and conspiracy theorists will never give credit to Musharraf for holding a fair election. Not that they deserved one. (Stratfor confirmed)

Sunday, February 17, 2008

Kosova is Free!


Happy Independence Kosovo!

Now how about Kashmir? And how about Chechnya and Dagestan? And Palestine?
One can hope!



Monday, February 11, 2008

A Short Story by Me!


Ok, this is my first attempt at a proper short story that was not for academic purposes. It may not be too good. It's roughly in the sci-fi genre and is somewhat inspired by the cyberpunk genre in some of its themes. It is called Red Demon. Please criticize brutally:

http://crowcaw.blogspot.com/2008/02/red-demon.html